Sunday, March 23, 2008

Gallup: Obama recaptures edge over Clinton

Gallup reports: Barack Obama has quickly made up the deficit he faced with Hillary Clinton earlier this week, with the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update on Democratic presidential nomination preferences showing 48% of Democratic voters favoring Obama and 45% Clinton.

Obama fell behind Clinton on March 14 and stayed there until today. "Obama's campaign clearly suffered in recent days from negative press, mostly centering around his association with the controversial Rev. Jeremiah Wright," wrote Gallup analyst Jeff Jones. "But Obama has now edged back ahead of Clinton due to a strong showing for him in Friday night's polling, perhaps in response to the endorsement he received from well-respected New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson."

The Gallup tracking poll is based on interviews with 1,264 Democratic or Democrat-leaning voters March 19-21. Its margin of error is +/-3 percentage points.

A tracking poll by Rasmussen Reports has shown a different trajectory. In that poll, Obama clung to leads of 1 to 5 percentage points all week and fell behind Clinton for the first time today, 46%-44%. Rasmussen calculations are based on four nights of polling, compared to Gallup's three.

As always, we remind you that these are snapshots and do not tell us what will happen in elections.

Update at 1:45 p.m. ET: As Mark reported Wednesday, Clinton strategist Mark Penn argued that Clinton's 7-point lead in the Gallup poll that day suggested voters were experiencing "buyer's remorse" over Obama.

For more on the Richardson endorsement, see our posts here and here. For more on the Wright controversy, click here.

Original here

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